Content from the 2014 conference workshop is below - welcome your additional thoughts, comments!
The difference between quantifiable and qualitative risk assessment was highlighted. Quantitative risk assessment is where a hazard is quantified by a system of numbers. i.e. hazard times likelihood equals risk.
Qualitative risk assessment is where hazards are listed and the likelihood of occurrence is not assessed.
One person suggested that we need to be looking at events happening, not hazards. An event might be falling off a bike, whereas a hazard might be a pothole that causes this. It was felt though that reasons for the event need to be taken into account. People, generally, do not simply fall of their bike there is usually a reason for it, such as a pothole. Instructors need to identify the reason and anticipate it.
It was felt that the term should be Risk Management, not Risk Assessment; instructors manage risk in a manner that improves the learning environment.
Risk can be split into two broad areas:
Hazard Who and how might it harm How likely is it What you are going to do about it.
Potholes Trainee falling off Quite likely Teach rider to swerve
Hazard Who might it harm and how Hazard rating (1 to 5 maybe) How likely is it. Rating (1 to 5 maybe) Total risk rating. (the previous scores are multiplied) What you are going to do about it New likelihood rating
Pothole Trainee falling off Worst case scenario, might break a collar bone. (rating = 3) Reasonably likely to an untrained rider. (rating 3) Rating = 9..
Something should be done to minimise this Teach swerving, observation, bend wrists to absorb bump. Likelihood rating reduced to 2, total rating reduced to 6
Finally we looked at risk management in the learning process. Risk management is an integral part of the learning process. Instructors use hazards to train the riders. However as the rider’s ability increases, then the likelihood of any given hazard causing harm, such as drivers, types of manoeuvres, reduces so the overall risk rating should remain constant.
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The Association of Bikeability Schemes.